The TSE's 5-2 ruling annulling Anthony Garotinho's 274,411 first-round votes, followed by TRE-RJ retotalization, lifted Douglas Ruas (PL) from 49.27% to 50.88% of valid ballots and eliminated the scheduled October 25 runoff against Eduardo Paes (PSD). Paes publicly accepted the outcome and withdrew his STF appeal, while formal proclamation remains set for October 15. This judicial recalibration anchors trader pricing, with "Other" reflecting the high probability of no second round and residual shares distributed across Ruas victory margins if appeals or further court action restore the runoff. The shift from pre-election polling leads for Paes to Ruas's adjusted first-round majority explains the current distribution of probabilities around the margin outcomes.