Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Roraima for the October 25 presidential runoff, reflecting the state’s consistent alignment with the PL party and the Bolsonaro family in recent cycles. First-round results showed him capturing 71% of valid votes there—the highest share nationwide—while Lula received 23%, with Flávio winning 14 of 15 municipalities. Pre-election surveys from late September indicated similar margins, and local contests reinforced the trend as PL candidates secured the governorship and Senate seats. Roraima’s electorate has prioritized policy emphases on mining, ranching, and legal security that align with the candidate’s platform. Lula’s support remains concentrated in specific indigenous areas. Late developments such as shifts in turnout or national campaign momentum could narrow the gap, though structural patterns favor continuity in this state.