Oct 12, 2026
Breaking News
See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?

Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?


Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?

Will Les Républicains hold 121-124 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?

Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?

Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?


Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?

Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?


Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?

Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?

Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?
Get daily updates
We'll send you an email every day with what's moving on Polymarket
Breaking news
Pivotal Research raises its SpaceX price target from $230, citing Starlink Mobile's massive growth potential.
Breaking news
Kid Rock reveals he collaborated with Eminem on his new Christian album, "Halfway 2 Jesus," despite their political differences.

Breaking news
NASA investigates massive hole on the Moon that scientists believe could lead into an enormous cave potentially suitable for future astronaut bases.
Breaking news
Hackers remotely defrost refrigerators at hundreds of French supermarkets, causing massive food spoilage.
Breaking news
Former Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin warns there is "no easy way out" of the Iran conflict, as both countries believe they can outlast each other.
Breaking news
Starbucks declares "we are not buying Chipotle," dismissing rumors of what could have been the largest restaurant deal in history.
Breaking news
Global smartphone shipments plunge 20%, marking the worst third quarter in 14 years as AI-driven memory shortages drive up prices.
Breaking news
Activity on several major U.S. political subreddits plunges following attacks on Russian data centers.
Breaking news
New video game "Hood Warfare 2" lets players join rival Chicago gangs, customize weapons, & battle for control of the city's streets.
Breaking news
ICE agents raid Rep. Ilhan Omar's home in a search tied to alleged immigration paperwork fraud.
Breaking news
Mamdani to skip NYC’s Columbus Day parade on Fifth Avenue, breaking with decades of mayoral tradition.
New polymarket
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?
Breaking news
Trump announces Katie Zacharia will give her introductory White House press conference Tuesday morning as she begins her term as Press Secretary.
Breaking news
Trump administration reportedly lifts restrictions on U.S. AI companies sharing their latest models with Britain's AI Security Institute for safety evaluations.
New polymarket
Will Swiss Parliament pass the UBS capital law?
Breaking news
Taiwan's defense minister announces the military is “closely monitoring” Chinese live-fire exercises across five coastal areas.
Breaking news
Chinese AI startup Moonshot is reportedly in talks to settle a $700+ million shareholder dispute ahead of its IPO.
New polymarket
Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by…
Breaking news
South Korean won surges to its highest level in two years.
Breaking news
China sanctions officials from Paraguay & Belize over their countries' diplomatic ties with Taiwan.
Breaking news
North Korea launches multiple ballistic missiles toward the sea off its eastern coast.
Breaking news
Federal judge orders Trump administration to stop using taxpayer money to fund political advertisements featuring Trump ahead of the midterms.
Breaking news
New Yorkers are now outliving the average American by more than 4 years, with NYC's life expectancy reaching a record high of 83.2 years.
Breaking news
Microsoft President Brad Smith warns that AI is “less regulated than milk.”
Breaking news
Deep-sea rocks collected by U.S. government scientists unexpectedly burst into flames during laboratory testing.
Breaking news
Next Claude Fable model projected to be released within two weeks — 62% chance.
Breaking news
India condemns JD Vance's remarks about H-1B workers as “deeply offensive”
Breaking news
Mike Tyson declares “I think Donald Trump will win” when asked about Republicans' chances in the midterm elections.
Breaking news
NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani sparks backlash after celebrating Italian Heritage Month by praising a former congressman with ties to the Communist Party.
Breaking news
Texas Senate race shifts into “Tossup” territory amid growing questions surrounding James Talarico's mysterious 13-day absence. Paxton surges to a 42% chance to win.

Breaking news
Tobey Maguire marries his ex-wife to another man, officiating her lavish Hawaiian wedding to billionaire heir Geoff Ogunlesi.

Breaking news
Amazon reportedly in talks to acquire AI startup Decart for approximately $7,000,000,000.00.
Breaking news
Georgia police officer fired after investigators found he repeatedly used Flock surveillance cameras to track his ex-girlfriend's vehicle.

Breaking news
NBA Commissioner Adam Silver reveals the league may introduce “smart basketballs” with embedded microchips as early as 2027.
Breaking news
Treasure hunter discovers nearly 1,000 ancient Roman silver coins buried in a German field — a fortune equivalent to roughly 6 years of a Roman soldier's disposable income.
Breaking news
Kentucky GOP Senate candidate Andy Barr calls his Democratic opponent Charles Booker the “Mamdani of Kentucky.”
Breaking news
Trump administration reportedly warns Ukraine it could lose access to U.S. weapons & intelligence if it continues striking Russian oil refineries. — FT
Breaking news
Sen. Chuck Grassley, third in line for the U.S. presidency, files paperwork for reelection in 2028 — would be 101 by the end of his term.
Breaking news
Zelenskyy offers to hold elections in Ukraine if Putin agrees to a 60-day ceasefire, after Trump said it was “time for Ukraine to get a new president.”
Breaking news
“The Social Reckoning” flops in its opening weekend, earning just $5.5 million compared to the original The Social Network's $22 million debut in 2010.

Breaking news
Kamala Harris's husband, Doug Emhoff, has reportedly told multiple people in private that he doesn't want her to run for president again. — WSJ

Breaking news
Trump brings out Kid Rock at Tennessee rally, hoping the rock star will motivate Republican voters to turn out for the midterms.

Breaking news
Scientists warn Pacific Ocean temperatures have surged to a record 6°F above normal, fueling what could become the strongest El Niño in recorded history.
Breaking news
Zelensky says Trump's announcement of an energy ceasefire between Russia & Ukraine “was news to me.”
Breaking news
UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham claims Russia “clearly” interfered in the 2016 Brexit vote.
Breaking news
Trump announces an immediate “energy ceasefire” between Russia & Ukraine, with both countries agreeing to halt attacks on energy infrastructure.
Breaking news
Democratic Socialists of America demand NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani fire NYPD Commissioner Jessica Tisch, abolish two police units, & “drive ICE out of the city.”
New polymarket
Panama Canal effectively closed by...?
Breaking news
Students in Azerbaijan walk out of classrooms in protest over government restrictions on Islamic hijabs in schools.
Breaking news
Spanish lawyer Miriam González Durántez launches Democracy21, a new centrist party promising to challenge Spain's political establishment.
New polymarket
EU lifts ban on Russian diesel imports by...?
Breaking news
UK government launches emergency weather preparedness taskforce as forecasters warn of an “unusually stormy winter.”
New polymarket
Gyanesh Kumar out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?
Breaking news
Eritrea urges the United Nations to intervene in its escalating military standoff with Ethiopia.
Breaking news
6,500+ healthcare workers worldwide sign petition demanding the Israeli Medical Association be expelled from the World Medical Association.
Breaking news
Japan holds competitive sleeping tournament, offering $15,000 to whoever can fall asleep fastest & sleep the deepest during a 90-minute contest.
Breaking news
South Korea completes its first commercial round trip to Europe through the Arctic, opening the door to a shipping route that could slash voyage times by roughly one-third.
Breaking news
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner Navi Pillay condemns Trump's sweeping sanctions on the International Criminal Court as “unheard of”
Breaking news
Virginia animal shelter claims noise from a nearby AI data center is “terrifying” its rescue dogs & disrupting their daily walks.
Breaking news
U.S. home prices have skyrocketed +441% since 1984, more than double the +210% rise in inflation over the same period.
Breaking news
Bitcoin now more likely to crash below $70,000 than reclaim $100,000 this year.
Breaking news
Reno, Nevada, moves to shut down its entire city-operated Flock surveillance camera network.
Breaking news
WHO reveals the cause of death remains “unknown” for the Russian plague lab worker whose death sparked fears of an outbreak.
Breaking news
DOJ launches antitrust investigation into ABC, CBS, CNN, NBC, & Fox News after the networks collectively suspended coverage of the president.
Breaking news
Trump reveals he’s considering renaming either the Pacific or Atlantic Ocean to “Trump Ocean.”
Breaking news
Nikita Bier reveals Bluesky users have been returning to 𝕏 “in droves” over recent weeks.
Breaking news
House Speaker Mike Johnson announces plans to advance legislation restricting federal use of Flock surveillance cameras.
Breaking news
Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent wishes Sen. Elizabeth Warren a “Happy Indigenous Peoples’ Day”

Breaking news
President Trump declares Iran is a "lunatic country."
Breaking news
Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear emerges as the frontrunner to be the first Democrat to launch a 2028 presidential campaign. 21% chance.

Breaking news
Nicolas Cage declares “I'm not an AI-friendly actor,” vowing to never work with Amazon again over its embrace of AI & $50 billion OpenAI investment.

Breaking news
Looksmaxxer Clavicular declares “I will be the world’s youngest billionaire,” revealing an astonishing number of investors are flocking to back his male makeup startup.