Pazolini leads Ferraço by nine points in the latest Quaest poll conducted October 10–13, extending his 15-point first-round advantage from October 4. With the October 25 runoff nine days away, 84% of voters report fixed preferences, limiting late shifts while Ferraço’s 57% approval rating offers a base for narrowing the gap. The wide spread across Pazolini margin buckets and the 50% allocation to “Other” reflect trader uncertainty over whether the current nine-point polling edge will hold, widen, or tighten in the final stretch of the Espírito Santo gubernatorial contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved



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