Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) secured 53.6% of valid votes in Goiás during the October 4 first round, ahead of incumbent President Lula (PT) at 31.1% and former state governor Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) at 12.3%, carrying 218 of 246 municipalities. This result aligns with broader first-round patterns showing strong right-wing consolidation across the Center-West, among evangelical voters, and higher-income groups, with eliminated right-leaning candidates freeing additional support for the second-round matchup on October 25. Trader consensus reflects these state-level margins and national polling trends favoring consolidation behind the Liberal Party candidate. A narrow reversal in Goiás would require unusually high turnout shifts or late developments altering voter preferences in Lula’s remaining strongholds.