Regional missile and drone threats linked to Iran and proxies including Hezbollah and the Houthis continue to shape trader assessments for Israeli airspace closures. The Tel Aviv FIR remains open with controlled restrictions and partial capacity as of mid-October 2026, though EASA and other regulators maintain caution advisories through November amid volatile security conditions. The September 30 attempted hijacking on a flydubai flight triggered expanded crew nationality restrictions and a security review ordered by Prime Minister Netanyahu, yet produced no broad closure. Short-notice disruptions from air-defense activity or escalations remain possible within the 30-day window, while maintenance-related NOTAMs have caused temporary operational pauses distinct from conflict-driven events.