US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon remain stalled following the June 2026 trilateral framework agreement, which outlined phased Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon in exchange for Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese Armed Forces deployment. Disagreements over sequencing persist, with Israel conditioning full withdrawal on militant disarmament and Lebanon prioritizing troop pullbacks first. Recent developments include a late-September meeting between Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio yielding little progress, Lebanese President Joseph Aoun’s October statements emphasizing negotiations as an alternative to conflict, and postponement of the next round previously eyed for Rome. Ongoing Israeli operations in southern Lebanon and Hezbollah’s position continue to shape trader assessments of near-term diplomatic meetings.
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