**Israeli officials have not accused Iran or its proxies of directing the September 30 Flydubai cockpit stabbing, and investigations continue to treat the Omani co-pilot’s actions as a likely lone-wolf or ideologically motivated attempt without confirmed state backing.** Netanyahu stated shortly after the incident that it was “too early to say” whether Iran was involved, while noting general concerns about proxy threats to Israeli targets abroad. Preliminary findings described the attacker’s intent to crash the plane near Ben Gurion Airport, but Saudi and UAE probes, alongside Israeli assessments, have not produced public evidence tying him to Tehran, Hezbollah, or similar groups. With the October 31 deadline approaching and no new verified links emerging in the intervening weeks, traders assign only a low probability to an explicit Israeli accusation materializing. Ongoing regional tensions and election-related security focus have not altered this specific assessment.