**Together leads market pricing for third place at 70% implied probability, reflecting consistent polling averages placing Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s joint list behind only Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot) and Likud (Benjamin Netanyahu) in projected Knesset seats.** Recent surveys from mid-October 2026 show Together holding steady around 11–13 seats, while the top two parties trade leads between roughly 20–23 seats each amid bloc competition and surplus-vote agreements. Other contenders, including The Democrats, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, the Joint List, and Yisrael Beiteinu, trail further back in most averages, supporting their lower market prices. With the October 27 election 13 days away, late shifts in turnout or undecided voters remain the main variables that could alter final ordering.