Gadi Eizenkot leads Polymarket odds for Israel's next prime minister because recent polls show his Yashar party competitive with or ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud in Knesset seats, while Eizenkot consistently leads head-to-head preference questions on suitability for the role by margins such as 43-38 percent. The October 27 election, the first full-term vote since 1988, centers on voter assessments of security performance since the October 2023 attacks, coalition viability, and Haredi conscription. Netanyahu's bloc has hovered near 53 seats in late surveys, short of the 61-seat majority threshold, while Eizenkot's bloc trails slightly but benefits from perceptions of a less polarizing profile. Naftali Bennett's B'Yachad party trails in third place, reflecting narrower support for other challengers amid high undecided voter shares.