The March 2027 Riigikogu election remains a tight contest among opposition parties for the largest seat share, with recent Turu-uuringute polling showing the Center Party at 23 percent support ahead of Isamaa at 19 percent, while Norstat and aggregated trends keep Isamaa narrowly in front amid broader opposition strength near 70 percent combined. Traders assign Isamaa a 52 percent implied probability as the leading outcome, reflecting its consistent positioning on economic growth, budget discipline, and defense industry priorities against a governing coalition polling below 15 percent. The Center Party's recent gains, ongoing Riigikogu budget debates, and the unifying effect of the newly inaugurated president highlight factors that could shift momentum before the March 7 vote.