Recent polling averages and expert forecasts place expected turnout for Spain’s November 29 snap election near 74 percent, driven by intense polarization after Pedro Sánchez dissolved parliament amid housing protests and legislative setbacks. A larger electorate of 38.73 million voters, including 1.6 million first-time participants and 2.77 million expatriates, combined with right-wing mobilization and lingering dissatisfaction over living costs and migration, supports higher participation than the 70.38 percent recorded in 2023. Historical averages hover around 72 percent, yet the short campaign window beginning November 13 leaves room for last-minute shifts from undecided voters or differential turnout between ideological blocs. Trader consensus currently assigns the highest probability to the 62-64 percent range, reflecting caution about whether broad mobilization will fully materialize before polling day.