**Kostadin Kostadinov of the Vazrazhdane party holds the strongest position for third place in Bulgaria’s October 25 first-round presidential vote, backed by consistent polling placing him behind frontrunner Iliana Iotova and challenger Andrey Gyurov.** Recent surveys from late September through early October, including those by Gallup, Market Links, Trend, Myara, and Alpha Research, show Iotova-Valchev at 44–50%, Gyurov-Kandev at 24–28%, and Kostadinov-Volgin at 8–12%, with all remaining candidates in a crowded field of 27 tickets polling at 5% or below. Low expected turnout around 36% and limited momentum for other contenders, including figures such as Boyko Borissov or Radostin Vasilev, reinforce trader consensus around Kostadinov’s standing. His ongoing campaign emphasizing national sovereignty, active neutrality, and independence has sustained this positioning without notable shifts in the final weeks.