Recent polling averages place the Religious Zionism–Zehut joint list in the mid-single digits, reflecting a stable but narrow base among religious nationalist voters ahead of the October 27 election. The September merger between Bezalel Smotrich’s party and Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut helped secure consistent threshold clearance after earlier standalone polls showed vulnerability, while surplus-vote agreements with Likud provide a modest buffer. Tight clustering between four-to-five and six-to-seven seats stems from competition within the right-wing bloc for overlapping voters, including from Otzma Yehudit and Shas, alongside variable turnout and last-minute shifts among undecided religious and settler constituencies. Final campaign developments and bloc-wide performance could still separate the ranges.