Netanyahu’s active leadership of Likud and repeated public commitments to contest the October 27 Knesset vote underpin the near-certain trader consensus against any pre-election withdrawal. He continues to campaign vigorously, pressure smaller right-wing parties to exit the race to consolidate votes, and signal privately that he intends to remain party chair and lead the opposition if necessary rather than step aside. With candidate lists finalized and the campaign in its final phase, no verified health, legal, or internal party developments have emerged to prompt a change. The only realistic shifts would require an unforeseen acute event, such as a sudden medical crisis or decisive new court ruling, neither of which appears imminent in the remaining days.