Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, consistently polls between 0.5% and 1.2% in recent surveys ahead of Israel's October 27 election, placing it below or near the 3.25% Knesset threshold in nearly every published poll. This positioning stems from sustained erosion of its centrist base, with support migrating to newer lists such as Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot) and Together (Naftali Bennett). Gantz submitted a full slate in early September despite repeated calls from opposition figures to withdraw and avoid splitting votes, yet no measurable uptick has appeared in fieldwork through mid-October. The market's heavy weighting toward sub-1.25% outcomes reflects this stable polling pattern and the absence of any late catalyst capable of lifting the party above the lower bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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