Recent polling averages place the combined PP and Vox vote share near 50-52 percent ahead of the November 29 snap election, driven by Vox gains to roughly 18-19 percent and steady PP support around 31-33 percent. Most private surveys project the right-wing bloc above the threshold with a parliamentary majority, reflecting voter shifts on housing, immigration, and economic concerns after the ruling coalition's recent setbacks. However, the state-run CIS poll shows a sharper PSOE lead, underscoring methodological differences and uncertainty over final turnout and left-wing vote consolidation efforts. The closely contested market reflects these polling variances, potential late campaign movements, and the absence of an electoral pact between PP and Vox.