Amcha Yisrael, the right-wing list led by former IDF brigadier general Ofer Winter, remains near or below the 3.25% electoral threshold in most recent polling averages ahead of the October 27 election. The party clears the bar in only four of the latest ten surveys, with averages around 2.2–2.7 seats and occasional readings of four mandates. A high-profile candidate resignation on October 13, prompted by reported harassment and pressure on his family, further weakened momentum and drew public criticism from figures including Benjamin Netanyahu over vote-splitting risks to the broader right-wing bloc. These dynamics, combined with the new party's limited track record since its August launch, align with trader consensus favoring fewer than four seats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions