**Zelenskyy’s X account (@ZelenskyyUa) has shown sustained high activity during the October 6–13 window amid ongoing Russian strikes on Ukrainian energy and civilian infrastructure.** Multiple daily posts in both English and Ukrainian have addressed frontline developments, diplomatic coordination with European leaders, and responses to statements on potential energy ceasefires. This pattern aligns with his typical output during periods of active conflict and international engagement, supporting the market’s strong consensus around 80–99 posts for the full period. Recent verified posts from October 11–12 detail specific attacks, casualty updates, and calls with figures such as Chancellor Merz and European Commission President von der Leyen. Traders appear to price in continued volume tied to these routine updates and any new diplomatic or military developments within the resolution window, with secondary bins reflecting lower-probability deviations from this baseline pace.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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