Ukrainian forces have not conducted confirmed ground operations to recapture Obratne or Temyrivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast since Russian units seized the villages in 2025. Recent Institute for the Study of War assessments and Russian milblogger reports note only unverified Ukrainian reconnaissance activity near Temyrivka, with no territorial gains shaded on ISW maps. Ukrainian military resources remain focused on Operation Vivaldi counteroffensives near Lyman and Kramatorsk in Donetsk, where advances have consolidated defensive lines. Persistent Russian pressure across multiple sectors, including Pokrovsk, combined with Ukrainian manpower constraints and the absence of major Zaporizhzhia breakthroughs in recent months, underpins trader consensus on low near-term re-entry prospects. Resolution hinges on verifiable ISW map updates through the contract deadline.