Trump administration officials and congressional actions have reinforced expectations that no pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell will occur before the end of 2026. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche explicitly stated he would not recommend clemency, while the White House has repeatedly indicated the president is not considering it. A Senate resolution opposing any pardon passed unanimously, and Maxwell’s legal team has tied potential testimony to clemency without prompting administration movement. These positions align with sustained political resistance from both parties and victims’ advocates. The 96.5% implied probability on “No” reflects this consistent record. A late reversal could still arise from new legal filings, private negotiations, or an unexpected executive decision before December 31.