The Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte centers on Article 2 allegations of unexplained wealth, SALN nondisclosure, and prohibited business interests after prosecutors withdrew the other three articles in mid-October 2026. This streamlining, following weeks of financial witness testimony estimating up to P1.5 billion in discrepancies, allows the defense to begin its case on November 9. The voting threshold stands at 14 of 20 participating senator-judges due to multiple absences among Duterte-aligned members, a ruling upheld amid ongoing proceedings that began in July. These procedural shifts and the narrowed focus on verifiable asset records have shaped the current trader consensus around conviction odds. The outcome remains subject to the full presentation of evidence and final Senate vote.