Recent polling in Georgia’s 2026 contests shows Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff maintaining an 8- to 10-point lead over Republican Rep. Mike Collins, while Democratic gubernatorial nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms remains in a statistical tie or slight deficit against Republican Rick Jackson. This gap has produced trader consensus around Bottoms running 6-9 points behind Ossoff. Factors include Ossoff’s incumbency and high name recognition, contrasted with voter reservations about Bottoms’ record as Atlanta mayor; Obama’s recent joint endorsements; shared campaign rallies; and consistent ticket-splitting patterns in statewide surveys. Early voting began October 13, with additional debates and undecided voters in both races capable of shifting final margins before November 3.