Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s approach to the October 27–28 FOMC meeting and associated press conference centers on data-dependent restraint after the September rate hike. Recent hotter CPI prints at 3.7 percent and resilient growth have kept inflation risks in focus, while Warsh has repeatedly stated he will not prejudge policy outcomes or offer traditional forward guidance. His October 16 IMF remarks highlighted an AI-driven investment surge creating near-term demand pressure alongside longer-run productivity gains, U.S. economic durability, and a commitment to price stability without previewing further tightening. Traders are watching for any shift in tone on the balance of risks, labor market cooling, or AI effects ahead of the blackout period. The meeting remains the last scheduled policy decision of 2026.
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