Incumbent Mark Sager holds a modest lead in trader consensus for the October 17 West Vancouver mayoral election, reflecting his long municipal record and focus on measured growth, waterfront parkland acquisition, and seniors' housing projects. Challengers Kirk LaPointe, councillor Sharon Thompson, and Joe Spears have narrowed the gap through debates emphasizing tax restraint, transparency, missing-middle housing, and accountability at Metro Vancouver. Recent scrutiny of Sager's role in a collapsed Horseshoe Bay condo development has fueled LaPointe's change-oriented campaign, which has drawn endorsements from former mayors. With advance voting underway and election day imminent, the fragmented field and local priorities on affordability and civic engagement continue to keep probabilities tight.