Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election place Otzma Yehudit in a narrow band of 6-9 seats, reflecting steady but modest support for the party within the broader right-wing bloc. Failed attempts to disqualify the slate or its candidates through the Central Elections Committee and High Court have removed one source of uncertainty, while statements from leader Itamar Ben-Gvir on Gaza emigration policy and demands for cabinet roles have kept the party visible. Tightness persists due to fluctuating survey results, competition for votes with Religious Zionism, absence of a surplus-vote agreement with Likud, and bloc-level dynamics that hinge on turnout and threshold parties. Late-campaign developments, final polling shifts, or clarified alliances could widen the range before election day.
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