McConnell announced in February 2025 that he would not seek reelection and planned to complete his term ending in January 2027. Despite a June 2026 fall leading to extended hospitalization and a three-month absence, he returned to the Senate floor in mid-September to cast votes and has continued recovery at home. Colleagues have described him as mentally sharp and committed to finishing legislative work, while Kentucky law and the short remaining timeline reduce incentives for early departure. Some critics have called for resignation amid health concerns, yet no official statements or procedural moves indicate an exit before term end, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for "No."