Israeli voters head to the polls on October 27 for Knesset elections that will shape the next government. Recent surveys indicate Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party often leads or ties Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud as the largest faction, though both major blocs remain short of the 61 seats needed for a majority. Eisenkot, a former IDF chief of staff whose party formed last year, has drawn support with his security focus and emphasis on post-conflict national recovery. Head-to-head polling consistently shows him ahead of Netanyahu on suitability for prime minister, while Naftali Bennett’s party trails further back. These polling trends and coalition uncertainties inform current trader consensus on the leading outcomes.