Recent consolidation of progressive support behind Green Party candidate Pete Fry, following withdrawals by COPE and OneCity mayoral contenders, has positioned him as the market frontrunner ahead of the October 17 election. As a sitting councillor with strong name recognition, Fry has maintained a narrow lead or statistical tie in late polling against incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver, amid high undecided shares and ongoing advance voting. Traders appear to price in Fry’s organizational advantages and vote consolidation over Sim’s record on public safety and development, while minor candidates trail far behind with limited momentum. The race remains competitive, with final turnout and late shifts among undecided voters likely to determine the outcome.