PAN maintains a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Querétaro state congress outcome, reflecting its status as the party of the sitting governor and strong recent internal cohesion around candidates for 2027. Morena trails but remains competitive, consistent with its gains in the prior legislative cycle and national momentum in several states. Forecasts show the two parties separated by single digits in projected vote share for the 25 local seats, with smaller parties like MC, PVEM, PT, and PRI holding limited but potentially decisive roles in coalition scenarios or proportional representation. The race stays tight because no party has locked in a clear majority path amid ongoing candidate selection, alliance talks, and the start of the federal-state electoral process, leaving room for shifts from turnout patterns or late developments before the 2027 vote.