**The market's strong tilt toward 55-59 PQ seats reflects consistent pre-election polling and seat projections showing the party on track for a minority government.** Late-campaign surveys placed the PQ at 28-30% popular support, with efficient francophone backing outside Montreal yielding projected totals averaging 58-62 seats in models from sources like The Writ, Poliwave, and Route127. This positioned a bare majority (64 seats) as only a 34-36% probability amid tight ridings and rising PCQ support near 20%. The October 5 election delivered a confirmed 59-seat outcome for the PQ, aligning with the leading bin while underscoring the knife-edge nature of the final count between minority and majority scenarios.