The New Taipei mayoral race centers on KMT nominee Lee Shu-chuan, who secured joint KMT-TPP backing after prevailing in an April 2026 opposition primary over Huang Kuo-chang, and DPP legislator Su Chiao-hui. Traders assign Lee a modest lead at 53.5% versus Su at 45.5%, reflecting a competitive contest in Taiwan’s most populous municipality ahead of the November 28 vote. Incumbent KMT Mayor Hou Yu-ih’s high approval ratings and public calls to transfer support to Lee provide one structural advantage, while Su emphasizes local infrastructure, housing renewal, and district-level service in areas such as Sanchong. The narrow spread aligns with polling that shows both candidates competitive on local issues rather than national debates, with limited room for other registered candidates to influence the outcome. Upcoming campaign events, turnout mobilization, and any shifts in district-level support could still alter the final margin before election day.