Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party and Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud in a tight race for the largest share of seats, with averages placing both near 22 mandates and neither bloc reaching the 61-seat majority threshold. Multiple surveys from early to mid-October, including those by Channel 12, Maariv, and Zman Yisrael, have Yashar edging Likud in first place, though some results from Channel 14 and others reverse the order amid bloc fluctuations. Naftali Bennett's Together party trails in third, while smaller lists such as The Democrats, Shas, and Otzma Yehudit remain well behind. Trader consensus on Yashar as the narrow favorite reflects these seat-projection trends and the absence of decisive late shifts in voter preference or coalition positioning.
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