Recent polls place the combined Religious Zionist Party–Zehut technical bloc near 5–6 seats, or roughly 5% of the vote, with figures fluctuating between 5 and 7 seats across surveys conducted in early to mid-October 2026. The September alliance between Bezalel Smotrich’s list and Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut was formed explicitly to consolidate fragmented national-religious votes ahead of the October 27 election and clear the 3.25% threshold. Trader pricing reflects this positioning, with the 5–6% and 6%+ bins nearly even because the list’s support remains sensitive to turnout among settlement and religious voters, competition from Otzma Yehudit and Likud for the same electorate, and any late shifts in right-wing bloc cohesion. A strong final-week campaign push or security-related events could lift the share above 6%, while weaker mobilization or voter migration to larger parties would likely keep results in the 4–6% range.