Recent polling averages place both Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s bloc of current coalition parties and the main opposition bloc in the low-to-mid 50s out of 120 Knesset seats, each several mandates short of the 61-seat threshold required for a majority. The Arab parties, projected at roughly 13 seats, have signaled limited willingness to join either side under prevailing conditions. With the October 27 election two weeks away, the most recent surveys show only minor fluctuations and no sustained movement toward a workable majority for either camp. Surplus-vote agreements due October 16 and final turnout patterns could still shift a handful of seats, but the consistent shortfall across multiple pollsters underpins trader expectations that no coalition will secure a parliamentary majority.
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