Latest numerical weather models, including GFS runs and agency guidance, forecast a daytime high of 21–22°C for Beijing on October 14 under clear skies and light southerly flow following a recent cool spell. This consensus positions 21°C as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability, with 22°C close behind at 31.5%, while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability tails. Light winds and minimal cloud cover support modest afternoon warming without significant model spread. Official resolution will rely on verified station maxima, with final forecast updates expected before the close of trading.