Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models indicate Madrid's October 15 maximum will likely reach 25–26°C under high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and strong diurnal heating. Current runs show consistency in this range, though slight variations in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C. These values sit above the 1991–2020 average high of about 20°C but well below the 27.1°C record, reflecting a warmer-than-normal late-season pattern persisting through mid-month. Updated model guidance and official AEMET briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.