Latest ensemble forecasts from global models show tight clustering around 21–22°C for Wuhan's maximum temperature on October 15, reflecting autumnal moderation as cooler northerly flow begins to dominate. Small probability spreads between these outcomes stem from minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, cloud-cover timing, and weak southerly advection of residual warm air ahead of an approaching frontal system. Official monitoring by the China Meteorological Administration and regional stations will resolve the market using standard maximum readings, with historical mid-October averages near 21°C providing climatological context. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours remain the key near-term drivers.