Éric Zemmour’s explicit confirmation of his 2027 presidential candidacy on BFMTV in mid-September has anchored trader consensus around his 77% implied probability for the Reconquête nomination. The party founder and president has described himself as “the candidate for the presidency of the Republic,” aligning with repeated public statements from Sarah Knafo that he remains Reconquête’s “natural candidate.” Knafo, who gained media visibility through her September book launch on public finances and earlier municipal results in Paris, has consistently denied any presidential ambitions and participated in party events presenting a unified front. Zemmour’s recent media interventions, including October commentary on rival dynamics within the broader right, have reinforced his position without emerging challenges or alternative nomination processes.