Recent polling averages place Shas near seven Knesset seats, corresponding to roughly 6 percent of the national vote, which aligns with the market's leading 6-7 percent outcome. The Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party has held steady in this range across multiple surveys conducted in early October, supported by its core voter base and a surplus-vote agreement signed with United Torah Judaism on October 11 that could improve seat efficiency without altering underlying support. Competition for religious and traditional voters from Otzma Yehudit and other right-wing lists has capped upside, while the party's consistent threshold clearance and limited recent volatility keep sub-6 percent and 7-8 percent ranges as secondary possibilities ahead of the October 27 election.