**The Surrey-Fleetwood riding in the October 24, 2026 B.C. provincial election features a tight contest between incumbent NDP MLA Jagrup Brar and Conservative candidate Garry Purewal, with minor-party candidates Tim Binnema (Green), Carolyn Hofbauer (OneBC), and Paul Brar (CentreBC) also on the ballot.** Brar, a long-serving representative and current Minister of Mining and Critical Minerals, won the seat narrowly in 2024 with 48.6% against a Conservative challenger. Purewal, a local business owner and community volunteer, benefits from broader provincial polling trends favoring the BC Conservatives. Recent candidate profiles and campaign activity highlight shared priorities around affordability, health care access, housing, and transportation infrastructure in this diverse Surrey riding. Market odds reflect a closely contested race shaped by the NDP’s local incumbency advantage versus the Conservatives’ stronger province-wide positioning. Fragmented support among smaller parties may consolidate behind the top two contenders, while advance voting (October 16–21) and final-day turnout in key communities could determine the outcome. Late campaign developments, such as targeted outreach or shifts in regional sentiment, remain the main variables that could widen the gap.