Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance show Atlanta under sunny skies on October 16 with a west wind strengthening to 10-20 mph, limiting daytime heating as a cold front approaches from the northwest. This setup follows unusually warm conditions with highs near 87°F on the 14th and 15th, producing expected maxima clustered around 83-84°F. The market’s heavy weighting toward 84-85°F (52%) reflects this consensus, while the spread across 82-83°F and 86-87°F captures remaining uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Stronger winds and the front’s timing are the dominant variables that could shift the outcome within the narrow range.