Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on October 14 of 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and westerly winds around 7–11 km/h. These conditions limit daytime warming compared to clearer scenarios, aligning with the market-implied probabilities favoring 18°C at 51% and 17°C at 34.5%. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal risk of exceeding 19°C or falling to 16°C or below, though final observed highs depend on exact cloud cover and precipitation timing. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the last key data before resolution.