**Strained Canada-U.S. relations amid an ongoing trade war have fueled public calls for action against U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra, yet these have not translated into government expulsion.** A petition seeking to declare him persona non grata, citing his comments on annexation rhetoric and perceived interference, has gathered hundreds of thousands of signatures since summer 2026 but remains unacted upon by Ottawa. Recent developments center on tit-for-tat tariffs, stalled negotiations under Prime Minister Mark Carney, and retaliatory measures rather than diplomatic rupture. Expelling an ambassador represents an extreme step with limited precedent in this bilateral relationship, and Canadian officials have channeled tensions into economic countermeasures and diversification efforts instead. Trader consensus at 84.5% for “No” by year-end reflects the absence of any official signals or procedural moves toward such a measure despite the friction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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