Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s February 2026 death in a U.S.-Israeli strike has shifted posting activity to successor-led accounts such as @khamenei_ir and @Khamenei_m, which continue releasing statements, archival material, and regime messaging on behalf of the “martyred Leader.” These channels have shown moderate but irregular output in recent weeks, with clusters tied to commemorations like Hafez Day or translations of his autobiography rather than daily commentary. Mojtaba Khamenei’s own account (@MKhamenei_ir) maintains a steadier cadence focused on security and internal policy themes, yet overall volume from the core Khamenei-branded handles remains low absent acute diplomatic or military triggers. Traders therefore assign an 84.5 % probability to fewer than five posts in the October 16–23 window, reflecting the absence of scheduled high-profile events and the managed, selective nature of official output.