Senate Republican leadership, including Majority Leader John Thune, has repeatedly stated that the conference lacks the internal votes needed to invoke the nuclear option and eliminate the legislative filibuster, a position unchanged despite President Trump’s repeated public calls for the change. Traders price the December 31, 2026, outcome at roughly 6-8% Yes, reflecting this arithmetic and the chamber’s long pattern of preserving the 60-vote threshold for most legislation even under unified GOP control. Earlier 2025-2026 rule adjustments eased confirmations for nominees but left ordinary bills untouched. Midterm results and any renewed legislative gridlock could test this stance before year-end, though no scheduled votes or announced shifts have altered the current consensus.