The Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party holds a narrow 34-33 majority in the Minnesota State Senate heading into the November 3, 2026 election, with all 67 seats on the ballot. Traders price the DFL as the clear favorite at 80.5% implied probability, reflecting its current edge in a chamber where Republicans need just a one-seat net gain for control. Recent September polling showed tightening in top-of-the-ticket races such as the U.S. Senate contest between Peggy Flanagan and Michele Tafoya, briefly boosting Republican odds in related markets, but October surveys have stabilized with modest DFL leads. Competitive districts in greater Minnesota and suburban areas, combined with fundraising and turnout patterns, remain the primary swing factors that could shift the balance in either direction.