Pete Fry has consolidated support from Vancouver’s progressive parties after COPE’s Stephanie Allen and OneCity’s William Azaroff withdrew in early September and endorsed him, narrowing the field and shifting polling momentum in his favor. Recent surveys, including a Justason poll showing Fry at 45% among decided voters to incumbent Ken Sim’s 30% and a closer Leger result with Fry narrowly ahead, reflect this consolidation ahead of the October 17 vote. Cost-of-living concerns, affordability, and public safety remain central issues, with Fry drawing stronger backing among women and across most city regions while Sim retains advantages in specific demographics such as Chinese Canadian voters. The election’s proximity and high undecided share keep the outcome sensitive to final-week turnout and late shifts.