Chou Chun-mi maintains her position as the leading outcome in the Pingtung County Magistrate race due to her status as the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent with a proven local coalition and record of attracting technology investments plus expanded social programs. The market prices reflect the county’s longstanding DPP tilt in national contests and the absence of major third-party entrants that could split opposition votes. Su Ching-chuan trails as the Kuomintang challenger in this November 28 rematch of the 2022 contest, which Chou won by roughly 2.5 percentage points; his June 2026 indictment tied to a 2024 hospital fire has weighed on his campaign and reinforced trader caution. Recent weeks have featured Chou conducting grassroots inspections and registering her candidacy while continuing governance, underscoring structural advantages that traders continue to price as decisive despite the competitive history.