**The trader consensus favoring Alexandre de Moraes remaining on Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) stems from entrenched procedural barriers and the absence of Senate action on dozens of impeachment petitions.** No STF justice has ever been removed via this route, which requires a two-thirds Senate vote and Senate president approval to advance. Recent internal court conflicts, including a September 2026 scandal involving alleged ties to a banker under investigation and mutual accusations with Justice André Mendonça, have fueled calls for resignation or probes but produced no formal removal. Moraes’s October 2026 order enforcing Eduardo Bolsonaro’s prison sentence heightened political tensions ahead of the presidential runoff, yet the current Senate has not moved petitions forward. While the incoming 2027 Senate composition raises longer-term risks, near-term resolution depends on Senate leadership and institutional protections that have so far preserved the status quo.